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On this site you'll find posts and pages from recent years. The site began as part of my public law practice after leaving Parliament in 2005. Accordingly it records my opinions, not necessarily those of Franks & Ogilvie of which I am a principal, or any client, or the National Party for which I contested the Wellington Central electorate in November 2008.

From the Wellington Writers’ Walk:

“It’s true you can’t live here by chance, you have to do and be, not simply watch or even describe. This is the city of action,the world headquarters of the verb”

– Lauris Edmond, from The Active Voice

NZX not alone in driving off listings

  • July 28th, 2010

Under the headline 'German Giants Flee Wall Street' Der Spiegel notes another stage in the decline of the NYSE as the world's dominant exchange.

" … With expensive accounting rules, an increased threat of litigation and hundreds of millions of dollars in fines for some firms, the once prestigious New York Stock Exchange and other American markets have become unattractive to Germany's biggest companies. Daimler and Deutsche Telekom have fled this year and the few remaining are likely to follow. On June 18, the symbol of the German company Deutsche Telekom, DT, made its last run across the ticker at the New York Stock Exchange. Europe's largest telecom company left the world's biggest and most recognizable exchange after nearly 14 years of trading. The company is currently in the process of delisting from all foreign exchanges and will soon only be traded on its home stock market in Frankfurt. Deutsche Telekom is just the latest German blue chip to say goodbye to the American capital market. In an emblematic departure, Daimler, the first German firm to be listed in New York in 1993, officially quit trading on the NYSE on June 4, saying that it no longer needed a presence in New York to attract international investors. And Munich-based insurance and financial services giant Allianz abandoned the NYSE last fall."

I hope the MED officials working on our Securities Law Reform package see it. Because this article is not about the effect of the latest package of politico-regulatory responses to the GFC, now expected to add between 300 and 700 new regulations for capital markets to deal with. The current exodus is reported to be a response to existing regulatory costs (largely for disclosure  including Sarbanes Oxley)

"On average, companies must add another five to 10 people to their payroll for SEC compliance alone, and a company may need a dozen workers for required executive compensation disclosures,..".

and the risks of personal litigation liability  

"What the SEC fully doesn't grasp to today is that dealing with the US regulation system is a nightmare,…it's another reason to run to the exit door.

Sarbanes-Oxley reforms also require a company executive to approve on all financial reports. "The most important thing (about Sarbanes-Oxley) is that the CEO and CFO sign for the financial statements,….All it takes is one person in the company to make a mistake and (an executive) can go to jail. Executives who sign off on incorrect financial statements can face a sentence of up to 20 years."

Our new law must target crooks, people with criminal mens rea (guilty minds). It must not treat foolishness and over-optimism and carelessness as if they are similar species of wickedness. Because law that conflates them all will scare honest people into doing nothing, or spending time on fruitless compliance back-covering. They know that good faith business mistakes are inevitable if they are to take the kinds of risks on behalf of shareholders that have allowed people living off the work of our businesses to come to think that poverty is not normal. 

Politicians are now being pushed by voters who think that big losses should not be as normal as big profits, or that if they suffer them, taxpayers should take them over, or make rules to ensure they can never suffer them again.

The NYSE is suffering the consequences of such failure to distinguish wickedness from foolishness.

Bad timing Mr Locke, on gun registration

  • July 25th, 2010

Keith Locke's call for gun registration maintains the Greens' usual faith in government  It follows last week's Sunday Star Times 'expose' of how many firearms are circulating. But both come at a curious time.

Because New Zealand's law has just been praised  by the authors of an international survey of firearms law, and firearms murder rates. The Herald's story on that study knocks the stuffing out of the efforts of Mr Locke and the SST.

Sadly for  Taupo's Jeremy Graves a willingness to look at the law and the evidence together is still too much for the Police to handle. Mr Graves was charged and convicted of assault for pointing an unloaded air pistol with a laser dot aiming device at Police who entered his home in the night.  A neighbour called Police when he heard glass smashing. Mr Graves broke into his own house after losing his key.

What a pity the Police did not laugh with Graves in relief on finding the mistake, since his laser dot on the 'intruders' was very effective.  Sadly they easily find judges willing to ignore the Crimes Act provisions on self defence, our history, and why people feel it is better to risk Police persecution in court than the fate of so many people who've suffered criminal home invasions. These judges uncritically apply not the law, but the unlawful Police policy that only they should be allowed to defend themselves with weapons that minimise the risk of the innocent defender coming off worst.

I suspect that Mr Graves would win an appeal. No doubt the Police can count on it being too expensive.

The  judge was silly enough to opine that Mr Graves would have been within his rights to use a baseball bat on the Police. How is that better than scaring them into properly identifying themselves with the red spot of a laser sighting device?

Matt Ridley on “when ideas have sex”

  • July 25th, 2010

Take Matt Ridley's Ted-Talk of 15 minutes for an inspiring explanation of gains from trade. From the comment thread it seems it helped even some Greens to understand.

Thanks Brent Wheeler and Alan Dormer

Lawyers on TV

  • July 21st, 2010

TV 7 screens The Court Report on Mondays and Thursdays at 9-35 pm. Last evening I spent an interesting couple of hours with host interviewer Greg King, VUW's Steven Price, NZ Law Society Vice President Jonathan Krebs and barrister Michael Bott as the second in this new series was  filmed. 

This episode covers the Waihopai decision and the intention of the Minister of Justice to patch the law that led to the absurd jury acquittal of the sanctimonious vandals who caused $1m in damage.

The Ministry's advice to their Minister  left him with little choice. Unfortunately it does not reproduce the Judge's directions to the jury, but it says they were consistent with the law as stated by higher courts in New Zealand, and that the jury decison was consistent with the directions.  Without seeing the reasoning I can't persuade myself that can be the case, as the defence of "claim of right" requires a genuine belief that their actions were lawful, not that they were morally justified.

Still, until the law is changed they could go back to do it again (as one of them has apparently said he wishes to do). He'd be sheltered by the reasoning of his previous acquittal. Is it not reasonable for him to conclude that a court has confirmed that his sincerity and purpose made it lawful?

And if he chooses to shift focus for his next crusade to the more traditional Catholic concern about abortion, on the same reasoning he'd be free to burn down an abortion clinic, or the home of a nurse who worked in one.

Despite being grateful to producer Sofia Wenborn and the Gibson Group team for the chance to chew the fat afterwards with her and my legal colleagues, I fear they will find it hard to turn this format into compelling viewing.

They underestimate how counter-intuitive it is to good lawyers to use stories and vivid images and pithy summations in public 'performance'. All our training and the judicial process are designed to produce instinctive mistrust of reasoning by anecdote, of incomplete and imprecise expression, of possible ambiguity, and of unanchored assertion. We are trained to move as quickly as possible from the tricky emotional swamp of incident to the safer ground of principle and abstract reasoning. So to the layman we are bloodless - in other words, boring.

That does not mean lawyers are necessarily the same in private conversation. But we learn to shift menal gears when we put on our professional cloak, and a good thing we do.

But TV producers trying to capture the drama of the clashes of principle and emotion behind contentious legal issues will be deeply frustrated by our profession's determination to suck the blood and emotion out of discussion. They'll also find our collegial courtesy (unwillingness to interrupt even boring repetition)  a challenge.

A few lawyers learn to cross the boundary back to letting their natural zing and passion come through even when they are in uniform. Sir Geoffrey Palmer does, for example. Lets hope Greg and his guests get there quickly.

Mining your political capital

  • July 20th, 2010

Why build and husband political capital if it is not applied to show you mean what you say on things that would "make the boat go faster"?

Not only stopping, but going backwards to appease the selfish green lefties is hardly likely to build capital, or even regain what was lost (if it was much). What does the government think it worth risking popularity for?

The  Coromandel-for-us-alone spokesman on Morning Report gave it all away this morning. He had no joy in any gain for the environment. It was all exultation at smashing the government's resolve.

Lawyer discipline

  • July 16th, 2010

The pathetic suspension penalty for Comeskey's admitted dishonesty draws attention to the law profession's loss of control of its own standards in 2006.

Until then, when the messy mix of union protection and state control that is the Lawyers and Conveyancers Act 2006 was passed, the profession could vote for leaders who might replace members of a tribunal responsible for condoning such a serious erosion of standards.

I am proud of my part in delaying passage of that Act for several years. Phil Goff knew it was conceptual rubbish, so he did not push it through over the concerns I was promoting with the other lawyers in the House. But he was too busy with Foreign Affairs to fix the flaws. Unfortunately, the Disciplinary functions are now performed by the Minister's prefects. The profession can not elevate its own standards.

Which is not to say that it necessarily would if it still had the chance. I've posted before on the wet leadership of the profession when it comes to matching rhetoric about honesty, with action.

All Blacks vs Springboks – party central

  • July 11th, 2010

Fantastic Rugby for New Zealanders.

If I were the South African coach I'd be in two minds over whether to expose my team this week to the usual post game video review. How do you inspire your guys to counter general excellence and mistake avoidance, from an entire team?

And if I were Bill English I'd cancel the folly of Auckland's 'party central', and save us all one day's borrowing from foreigners. How will Auckland fill a ghastly old shed on a distant waterfront when they can't muster more than 25,000 spectators for a game like that?

NZ politicians’ salaries and perks – put them at risk

  • July 10th, 2010

The Economist report that John Key was sixth in a table showing Leaders' salaries as a multiple of GDP per head (John Key gets 10x our GDP per head) came on top of  widespread comment on the Speaker's triennial review of MPs pay and allowances, released on 1 July.

Most people will recall the comments on the report, not the report itself. Even Kiwiblog focussed on rebutting mistakes in the opinionated Herald editorial.

I'm disappointed with the review recommendations in two areas. One of Doug Kidd and Phil Barrys' concerns leads straight to a radical conclusion but they did not draw it. The other will be damaging if it is taken too far.

The first issue is identified in the review simply:

"We are concerned that the rate of growth in expenditure by the Parliamentary Service departmental and the Office of the Clerk in recent years exceeds by a wide margin the rate of growth in the economy (which has averaged 1.4% p.a. in real terms over the five years to 2009). Our view is that this trend is not sustainable and needs to be checked."

MPs are sheltered from the consequiences of their own dumb decisions that lead to our poor growth. Their personal experience is of constantly improving conditions, and they get elected by promising more to others, and by sticking to the political wisdom that the bearing bad tidings gets no votes, however necessary it might be to speak the truth to the people who would rather hear comforting platitudes.

A solution – MPs should be obliged, just like many company executives, to put a material chunk of their salaries at risk if they do not improve our wealth.

That chunk should go into a deferred receipt scheme. It could be paid out say 3 years in arrears, but adjusted in proportion to New Zealand's over or under-performance in gdp growth compared to the OECD average.  I'd suggest say 40% at risk. Ordinary MPs can afford it. They get well over 4 times the NZ gdp per head. They should have even more of their pensions at risk, tied directly to long term increases of average gdp. If it increases at a faster rate (or declines less) than the OECD average, they should get a bonanza. If it underperforms, they should lose proportionate chunks.

The second issue is the review's enthyusiasm for bulk funding and the reduction of provision of services in kind. I think they have insufficient concern about the behavioural effect of "bulk funding" and monetization of benefits for people with mutliple temptations to free ride on the efforts of others. Many may  simply take the monetary equivalent and use it in ways that benefit them personally, and not provide the services sought by voters.

They may not act differently from the beneficiaries who spend money on cigarettes and coca cola and grog, when the same amount distributed as food stamps could ensure a generation of kids with better nutrition.

I do not defend the general international travel privilege. Nor do I think that any form of international holiday travel should be subsidised. But I believe that there should be more, not less international travel by MPs. In my opinion the people of New Zealand get very material value out of many of the overseas tours that take MPs away together.

Many MPs get an exaggerated idea of not only their own importance, but of the importance and power of New Zealand. For those MPs is sobering to spend time in countries where nothing you do or think makes the slightest impact on the people around you, or their TV news or their newspapers. I've heard Maori MPs, for example,  exclaiming over how immaterial are their issues to the world and to indigenous people facing far more pressing problems.

More importantly, those group trips are now (since MMP and since Parliament ceased to have the 'lads' culture of a gentlemen's drinking club) often the only occasions when MPs from different parties get to know each other without the party label barriers up. When on a trip overseas we are treated as New Zealanders without much concern for the tribal differences. And in turn we come to remember that the things we share as New Zealanders and our common interests can be far more important than the things on which we divide. I believe I was more constructive as an MP after a few trips where I formed warmer personal relationships with MPs I'd never expected to like. In comparison to the gains for the country, the costs are trivial.

Those trips  should continue to include spouses. Unpopular though it may be to say it, in my experience spouses sacrifice a lot. Worst can be the gap that opens up as the MP grows and learns in the challenging job, while the spouse gets left behind intellectually. The shared experience of the people in a tour group as well as the learning from those met overseas may help reduce that dangerous disparity.

it is simply not true that private sector businesses do not allow senior executives to include spouses in travel. Some do expressly encourage it with limits of course. Others allow targetted executives (often those away from home a lot) to "cash in" a business class seat for two economy class seats. That should be encouraged.

Sitting in business class while your voting plebs are behind is not good for the MP's soul anyway.

 

Gutless liquor law amendments

  • July 9th, 2010

The kids in the Youth Parliament yesterday debated and heard submissions on liquor law reform. One MP told me many of them were more blunt and commonsensical than their elders. Film director Taiki Waititi appeared before one of their committees. He's reported as "sick of seeing teens puking up or asleep in Courtenay Place". He had no firm view on the age of supply issue,  but said youth should take more responsibility.

 

Why is that not the heart of the reform? Instead the government is drafting up variants of the Law Commission's proposals – everything they can think of other than requiring personal responsibility.

 

Though Richard Long thinks their effort could misfire, the panel of worthies demanding that the government implement the full Commission ticket are well meaning dupes in the same strategy.

 

They're right that there is a problem. New Zealand decided 40 years ago to end the 6 o'clock swill, then to become "mature" continentals by making grog a normal part of life, with on demand 'civilised' drinking in restaurants and cafes and free sale in shops. But instead of turning into idealised French sophisticates we've unleashed many of ourselves as sodden Russians or morose Scandinavian berserkers.

 

The Law Commission has excited the Youth Divisions of the  political parties. They're joining forces to block a change in the supply age, though that age limit has so little substantial effect that their fight is essentially empty symbolism.

 

None of them address the simple question raised bravely by the Hospitality Association's Bruce Robertson. "Why not focus directly on personal responsibility for the behaviour we don’t want?".

 

It is not hard. Underage drinking is against the law in many countries. They enforce it with penalties on the underage drinkers. Not us now, though we did here, until recently. We also enforced law against drunken oafishness, littering, breaking glass, foul language, threatening behaviour.

 

Now instead we are to get another round of symbolic law, all aimed at people who supply liquor.

 

What use is that? Everyone knows there is unlimited cheap alcohol in supermarkets. Those who want to pre-load can always find someone to buy what they want.

 

Why no offence of public drunkenness? Why no enforcement of law against underage drinking? The answer is simple – the same excuse as is used for a whole string of laws, from dog control, to fireworks bans, that pretend to be tough by targeting the law-abiding with new restrictions, out of fear of tackling directly the wrongdoers.

 

Sir Geoffrey is quite frank about the reasons for not focussing on personal responsibility -"because the Police tell me it is too hard to enforce". Why? Because it would not be seen as "fair" to collect penalties that would make a difference?

 

Pathetic – from all involved.

Will Rodney’s work come to this

  • July 8th, 2010

Rodney Hide has put enormous energy into implementing Labour's plan to centralise government of Auckland.

Will he feel it was worth it if the result of all that effort and political capital expended could be the imposition on the whole region of the 'precautionary principle' kind of rule exhibited in the ARC's bob-each-way decision to preserve an ugly old shed on their waterfront. 

Once it was decided to proceed with the left's cunning plan, National did very well to label Rodney with the responsibility.  If the demographics mean the structure is persistently dominated by the left's non-acheiver people and culture, making it monolithic leaves no localities free of their rule. They'll have the "rich prick" areas to tax to pay for their re-election bribes to the gullible voters who'll keep them in power.

One of my reasons for being glad that Kerry Prendergast is standing again in Wellington, is her conversion from enthusiasm for a monolithic Wellington region local government, back to sticking with the devil we know. At least some areas can be comparatively well governed while others suffer. And the comparisons can be instructive.

Auckland will soon lose that prospect of comparison. 

Directors’ Powers and Duties defined – but does the criminal law care?

  • July 7th, 2010

This was in draft as a brief law book review. I got distracted when criminal prosecutions were announced today of Vance Arkinstall and Rick Bettle among others, alleging misleading statements in the prospectuses and advertisements of Dominion Finance Ltd.

Vance was a longserving Chief Executive of ISI, the insurance and savings industry peak body.

Rick Bettle was a revered chief executive of Wrightson (before my time on the board of that company) and has since been one of the country's most highly regarded company directors. He has been a trusted government entity chair (TAB, Civil Aviation and Capital and Coast Health) and presided over the Institute of Directors In New Zealand.

What happens to the law, to the confidence of New Zealanders in the probity of our commercial leaders, and to the enforcement bodies when such people spend years in criminal proceedings?

They may be guilty as charged. They may be able to refute the prosecution claims conclusively, as all based on hindsight. They may escape on technicalities. Some may show that even due diligence did not reveal that the statements were incorrect. Others may fail  though they were equally unaware of the mistatements, because they have not kept a backcovering paper trail of diligence, even if they were in fact sensibly diligent. The cases may reveal a pattern of wishful thinking. They may instead show calculated risk-taking with the highest of motives, accepting personal exposure in the not foolish hope that continued confidence  would let the company trade through and avoid crystallizing the losses that are now certain.

I know nothing either way in this case. But  I do know one thing – these prosecutions and others like them could be seen in years to come as a watershed for our company  and securities law, and for respect for the law.  Which way that goes could in turn have more influence than all Bill English's tax changes, or Rodney Hide's red tape scissors, on whether we regain an enterprise culture, investing our own money productively in risky businesses,  or instead continuing to rely  on banks borrowing foreigners' money to fund our idleness..

The deterrent of the prosecutions could see the birth of  impeccable candour among company directors, ushering in a new age in which fear of prosecution makes it  possible to take at face value nearly all public commercial discourse, assuming statements have been checked to exhaustion for possibly misleading inferences. The resulting public confidence will see a flood or renewed saving and direct  investment by the newly trusting "mums and dads".

Or we could be watching a dramatic acceleration of the great decline in  opportunities for direct public investment, as promoters directors and major shareholders decide that the compliance costs (and risks) of public offering far outweigh any lowered costs of capital. On that scenario there will be little that the NZX can do to reverse its decline in significance. The power and revenue of private equity and other "wholesale" market intermediaries will surge, and whatever their 'financial literacy' or newly refreshed trust, for "kiwi mums and dads" there will be declining choice for direct investment.

This is not an attack on the Commission for these prosecutions. They may have been left with no choice but to pursue many of these cases, by rank culpability, or by the way the law is framed. I've long urged more enforcement and less fiddling with the rules. But the rules that need enforcement are the rules against fraudsters, against dishonesty. I hope the Commission is not deciding that the need to look tough justifies chasing people they do not suspect of genuine fraud, just because the regulations have redefined 'fraud' with strict liability for mistakes that had no dishonest intention.

I should have posted on this earlier when David Jackson, an eminent accountant, had to resign from the Securities Commission when the Commission launched  'civil proceedings' (essentially criminal prosecution-lite) against him and other directors of Nuplex. Or even earlier when John Hagen, with whom I sat on the Securities Commission began his ordeal under criminal law as a director of Feltex.

I do not know Jackson. But from what I know of the others they could never have imagined the liabilities they now face. Nor could many others who've worked with them and believe them to be honest and honourable. John Hagen put thousands of essentially volunteer hours into upholding standards of probity in the securities industry as an auditor, as a leader in his firm, and as a Securities Commissioner.

My fear is that as these cases wind on we will create a self fuelled spiral of decline in trust and the expectation of being law abiding, that are among our cultural treasures and competitive advantages.

What can protect ordinary investors from confusion and cynicism as they see commercial leaders in the dock (who can you trust?).

At the same time, even if the prosecutions are justified in law I foresee a tacit consensus emerging among business people that the law is deeply unfair if it targets people they believe to be decent and honest while politicians (and their own employees) are sheltered by other laws, for deceit, and theft and gross derelictions of duty. They will decide that securities law is written by cynical hypocrites who care only about appearances, not substance, and that it is enforced by morons. If that view takes root there will be a consensus like that already abroad about tax avoidance (and the tradesman cash economy). When enough people find justifications for  ignoring or evading the law you eventually get Italian style corruption. The "consensus of merchants" lies at the heart of our commercial morality. We generally trust that people will do their duty and what they say they will do. How long can that  expectation last when people see the law colliding with morality in yet another sphere (it is already mocked in employment law, and in welfare entitlements).

For two decades we have been writing aspirational slogans into securities law (and employment law ) instead of trying to confine it to what honest people do in practice. We are now reaping the consequences – regulators bound to enforce these aspirational statements against people who are not crooks. If they do not enforce, however unreasonable the law, the authorities will feed mistrust themselves for failing in their duties.

Even if those charged are convicted most of the market insiders will continue to regard the convicts as decent people, and some of them will remain leaders. People will not bother with niceties of reasoning. They'll simply decide "if even he/she is now a target, I could be too – best stay out of the territory, or do whatever it takes to make sure the authorities get no traction with me".

I have worried for years about the  potential costs of  law made by people who think it is enough to recite noble objectives, It is no consolation that at least one of the current targets regarded me as over-anxious.

And so, eventually I get back to the book review. Directors Duties and Powers is by Professor Peter Watts. He is one of the very few commercial law academics (here and overseas) with enough appreciation of the elements of the rule of law, and its fragility, to publish his  concerns about the trend to feelgood law (including self indulgent judgemade law). He has warned that eventually it could be an own goal.

For a flavour of his iconoclasm, here's his explanation for ignoring the fashionable topic of "governance".

"This is NOT a book on what has come to be called "corporate governance". ….If most companies, or most companies of a certain type, come to adopt a governance practice, it is usually not long before someone argues that directors are legally negligent if they have not conformed to the practice. Courts and legislatures need however to be vigilant on this score. It is not always necessary to integrate the ideal into the floor of duties, which is what the law should concern itself with. Many corporate governance ideas are the brainwaves of strong advocates, who like nothing better than to see their latest strictures turned into binding laws. All such notions and practices should be viewed with considerable scepticism by judges and legislators before being made compulsory…."

I'm not sure whether non-lawyers will appreciate the strength in that  delicate warning.

Peter was one of the best junior lawyers I've had the privilege to work with. He richly deserves the Legal Research Foundation's JF Northey Memorial Book Award for this book. I invited myself to the launch when I was unexpectedly free in Auckland at the right time last year. I should have thanked Peter before now by promoting his excellent work.

But for practical purposes, much of this scholarship will count as nothing if the dominant driver for  directors becomes fear of strict, crude and politically defined criminal liability, not the carefully balanced duties evolved over thousands of cases by the judges who oversaw the heyday of Anglo-Saxon capitalism.

Silent spring in my hills?

  • July 6th, 2010

If the US closes down our 1080 source I suppose we'll start getting it from China, because they'll make it if there is demand. It would be too rational for New Zealand to think of making the stuff for the world even though we reportedly use 90% of what is made. 

 

A season after I finally gave up on 10 years' opposition and allowed aerial application of 1080 with EPRO's deer repellent, my land had more birds and rich bush growth than I'd ever known.

 

I found no dead deer or cattle (though there were wild cows and calves in the area) but it did kill feral sheep (I found 14 carcasses).

 

Two years later there are still more birds than we had before. I've just had another TB testing round with no reactors on my place.  All my neighbours have suffered the restrictions of TB movement controls. I want to stay clear.

  

 

 

.

 

IQ scores and health

  • July 2nd, 2010

I hope some enterprising journalist tracks down our Professor Flynn in Dunedin to get his views on the report just noted in the Economist, that links average country IQs with their ranking for the  prevalence of infectious diseases.

"A rise in intelligence over the decades has already been noticed in rich countries. It is called the Flynn effect after James Flynn, who discovered it. Its cause, however, has been mysterious—until now".

The report summarises the findings:

"At the bottom of the average-intelligence list is Equatorial Guinea, followed by St Lucia. Cameroon, Mozambique and Gabon tie at third from bottom. These countries also have among the highest burden of infectious diseases. At the top of the list of countries with the highest average intelligence is Singapore, followed by South Korea. China and Japan tie in third place. These countries all have relatively low levels of disease. America, Britain and a number of European countries, follow behind the leaders. A list of the countries included in the study can be found at: www.economist.com/science-technology"

I'm puzzled by the indication that China has low disease prevalence. If it is indeed comparable with the wealthy west that is a phenomenal acheivement, given their relative poverty, population density, and the use of human dung as fertiliser.

Elena Kagan and Margaret Wilson

  • July 2nd, 2010

The Senate confirmation hearings for Supreme Court nominee Elena Kagan are underway. The appointment of the former Dean of Harvard Law School may not be quite the foregone conclusion assumed a couple of months ago. Some Republican Senators seem to be winding themselves up for a filibuster.

Without fireworks the hearings are not attracting much attention, but they are prompting a vigorous revival of argument about "judicial activism". Ann Coulter puts the view from the right pithily:

"Congress, as the people's elected representatives, is supposed to "get things done." If they don't, that usually means the people don't want those things done. It's not the court's job to say: "Hey, Congress, you forgot to enact this! Don't worry, we'll take care of it." But liberals see the Supreme Court as their backup legislature, giving them all the laws Democrats can't pass themselves because they'd be voted out of office if they did."

Kagan's 5 years in Clinton's team, and hostility to military recruitment at Harvard are under the spotlight, along with concerns about her lack of law practice and judicial experience. The unseemly debate over whether she is lesbian is unlikely to revive in the Senate Committee but conscientious senators are worried about her position on judicial activism. Her support is substantially based on success as Dean of Harvard Law School. She has never been a judge and apparently has not written much of rigor.

She's struggling to point to anything showing much respect for the duty to maintain certainty and predictability in law. Former Attorney General Edwin Meese summed it up for conservatives long before the hearings as follows:

"Though Ms. Kagan has not written extensively on the role of a judge, the little she has written is troubling. In a law review article, she expressed agreement with the idea that the Court primarily exists to look out for the "despised and disadvantaged." The problem with this view—which sounds remarkably similar to President Obama's frequent appeals to judges ruling on grounds other than law–is that it allows judges to favor whichever particular client they view as "despised and disadvantaged."

Our recent experience of a Law School Dean in high constutional legal office is not encouraging. In my view former Waikato Dean Margaret Wilson could hardly have a worse legacy as Attorney General and Associate Minister of Justice.

We got a relationships property law that penalises separated mothers with children and lonely old people and compulsorily attaches the property consequences of marriage to many others who have precisely the opposite intention by not marrying.

We lost access to the Privy Council, one of the world's most highly regarded judiciaries. I guess it would have cost New Zealand no more than $5m per year (all  costs including lawyer travel) for the dozen or so cases a year that went to the Privy Council.

The standard view is that three hearing levels are needed to achieve reasonable appeal reliability. A well functioning judiciary is reversed in about one third of appeals at each level. 12 cases per year was a high normal frequency of appeal to the third level from our size population (comparing ourselves with Austraila, the UK, Canada).

We now have around three times that number going to the third level. The court was "designed" to hear up to 50 full cases per year.

The cost could be readily calculated accurately, but guesstimates will be close enough to highlight the point  – we are now paying between five and ten times the previous cost with no noticeable increase in the certainty or predictability of our law, or any public increase in confidence in the judiciary.

The interest, maintenance and depreciation costs for our Supreme Court's ugly home alone may be more than $10m. There will be salary and operating costs of say another $4m.  And assuming conservatively that it costs each side an average of $150k to take a case to the Supreme Court the increase in the number of cases going past the Court of Appeal takes the private cost to say $12m. The total of $26m can be compared with the guesstimate of $5m as the total cost of Privy Council access used during the debate over abolition of our right to go there.

But the worst result of our new arrangements is the inability reassure people that decisions are not overly influenced by chumminess between judges and counsel and litigants. That problem was at the heart of my efforts to force a rethink while Wilson's Bill was going through.

My worst fears have been justified. Just this week I was sent by an intelligent businessman his argument to the court for a rehearing in circumstances that to him reeked of the influence of personal friendships or undue respect between Supreme Court judges and counsel. Though I doubt that he is right, I can not be sure, and there is nothing I can say that will reassure him that his case has been considered dispassionately.

And we have yet to experience our first controversial appointment, after which there will be permanent suspicion of political agendas on the Court.

Sacking a fellow director – GPG

  • June 29th, 2010

Interesting to learn that GPG directors can enforce boardroom solidarity by sacking a fellow director, or so Sir Ron Brierley says in the 28 June statement announcing Tony Gibbs' sacking:

"Following careful consideration of these matters, the Board has today resolved, in accordance with Article 97(e), to terminate the appointment of Mr Gibbs as an Executive Director and has further resolved, that his office as a Director of Guinness Peat Group plc be vacated. Consequently, Mr Gibbs has ceased to be a Director of the company."

However merited Gibbs' revolt, the way in which he delivered the news of his disagreement with the Board decisions breached strong conventions. In New Zealand his fellow directors would have at least asked him to resign. But I'm not aware of public companies here which would allow directors to do the sacking. It is for shareholders to sack a steward they have appointed  to govern their company.

Still, GPG has always presented as if it was the directors' company and we the other shareholders were invited along for the ride. For a long while that worked well. Once they've fallen to fighting, we shall see.

Solidarity conventions are based on sound intuitions. Searching argument internally, then external solidarity around the majority decision pays off more reliably than the alternatives, despite the risks of group-think and the passionate rightness of dissent on some occasions.

Securities Law Review paper

  • June 23rd, 2010

At first glance the MED discussion document (released yesterday evening) is well pitched to produce some practical reform. It poses sensible questions and does not make the mistake of assuming too much (other than the irritatingly frequent shorthand use of the term 'regulation' as if it is a self-evident good, without distinction according to purpose).

But it would have had more credibility as a first principles analysis if it had suggested, or at least asked about, suspension of the implementation of the morass of occupational regulation coming in this year for the benefit of those who will be left in the financial advisory industry (to the disadvantage of most investors) with damage to 'financial literacy' generally. I've been working my way for a client through the Financial Service Providers Act 2008 and the raft of patch-up and supplementary law (including the woeful 'pre-implementation adjustments" Bill on whichthe Select Committee reported on 11 June).  An ill considered mess is well down the tracks without any cost/benefit calculation I can find.

Why has there been so little attention to the potential costs of the new compulsory dispute resolution processes? They are not permitted to include any contraints or disincentives to baseless complaining. Costs will fall across providers and their customers generally.

And though the Securities Law discussion paper has useful description of issues to be considered in bulking up the FMA's enforcement role, it does not ask the  fundamental question – whether the benefits from a fat and now grotesquely costly superstructure of specialist securities regulation outweigh those costs, in comparison to spending the same or a lesser amount ensuring speedy, economical and effective enforcement of laws against dishonesty  of general application (i.e. not confined to 'securities' ).

To restore practical strength to laws against dishonesty could do more for New Zealand than fiddling with the lawyer wealth scheme that is what securities law has become. It would need court reform and changes to rules that protect fraudsters from exposure, and structures that shelter their ill-gotten gains. Requiring orders for  full recovery of legal costs (risk adjusted) from losers might help. Such a genuine reform would have lower risks of unintended consequence.

I'll be studying carefully  for unintended consequences those sections of the paper proposing new supervision of 'collective investment schemes'. Companies are proposed for inclusion as such. The limited liability company form has been refined for over 150 years. Such cultural taonga are always at risk from faddish remedies touted with the best of intentions.  Enthusiasts for change sometimes have little understanding of why their taonga works, and why it looks like it does. The paper sensibly appears agnostic in this area.

Businesses, and business organisations in particular, should mark 20 August as the closing date for submissions on this paper. Thoughtful input will be important.

Hubbard (2)

  • June 22nd, 2010

I hope the Securities Commission knew what they were doing when they asked the Minister to inflict statutory management on Alan Hubbard and his wife.

Watching TV One coverage yesterday evening was very sad – especially the Timaru Herald headline :Hubbard in Fraud Probe".

If the Hubbards are indeed solvent and the problem is just a paperwork muddle, those who have brought down headlines like that on Mr Hubbard should feel ashamed of themselves. There is law that can sort out that kind of thing without calling in the SFO.

If  the government has seen fire in the smoke we shall know in due course, but it was not reassuring to have the Minister solemnly citing an investor's complaint that he had not had an investment statement as the trigger for all this. Diddums.

We've got a major securities law refview underway partly prompted by dawning recogntion of the uselessness of investment statements and much else of the paraphenalia of offering law. I wonder how long that investor had been investing with Hubbard without investment statements?

Nor did it seem necessarily germane to me that there are related party loans from Aorangi to the Hubbards and their businesses.

I thought that related party investment was exactly what most of those investors wanted. They wanted their money alongside Alan Hubbard's, in his businesses, because he was so successful.

Normally I would be with Bryan Gaynor in deploring related party lending. Usually it is a breach of the expectations of investors. In this case it was the whole point, from what I've heard from South Island friends.

Coroners and other whingers responsible for chase deaths

  • June 21st, 2010

Once again the Hon Judith Collins, Minister of Police has the courage to say what few in authority have been willing to say for some years. This time her simple determination - that the Police should not back off for fear of causing offenders to crash if they flee at high speed –  highlights the contrast with her predecessors. She did not say "good riddance" but she was clear:

 . "Police are not going to stand by and let dangerous drivers take over the roads and put innocent people's lives at risk."
Ms Collins says reviews have suggested the pursuits policy be fine tuned but she believes that in general, the policy is very sound. "

The DomPost this morning quoted Police Association President Greg O'Connor saying "There's a generation growing up that know that if they drive fast enough, police will be forced to pull out. You're actually, perversely, making the roads more dangerous."

Sadly, politically correct Commissioners and the IPCA and coroners have created that generation. There is nothing wrong with having internal rules to limit pointless speed chases when there are other ways to apprehend people. Innocent people are killed in chases. But the best way to prevent them is likely to be minimising the number of chases by near certainty that they will not pay for the offender, not by micromanaging Police conduct to the point where there is a good chance they will be ineffective.

It will take some years now of obvious determination by the Police to ensure that bolting at high speed does not pay, to rebuild the folk lore knowledge that it is simply not worth trying to outrun the Police.

There may be safer ways to pursue fleeing wrongdoers. David Farrar mentions helicopters. They are too expensive for much routine work, but the time must be coming when unmanned flying camera technology will be cost effective.

Whatever is used there must be a determination throughout the criminal justice system to ensure that rules mean what they say. The current situation is another illustration of the common experience – that soggy minds with the best intentions can be the greatest cause of tragic unintended consequences. The worst policy in this area is to leave open a reasonable prospect of a successful gamble by offenders. We know they have a higher propensity to gamble than non-offenders.

The kindest law is not the one that "treats each situation on its merits". It is probably the one that seems the toughest with the least incentive to gamble.

Hubbards a “corporation” for statutory management purposes?

  • June 21st, 2010

The Corporations (Investigation and Management) Act 1989 was controversial when it was passed. 

The powers conferred were so sweeping (including suspension of the rights of secured creditors) that there were concerns it could increase the risk premium for lending in and to New Zealand. The sparing use of it since has largely reassured markets, so much so that few would have remembered the early fears. It was passed when New Zealand was feeling particularly humble in the gloomy after party debris of our de-regulation boom, and before the lordly Australians realised that they had corporate cowboys and looters whose falls from grace were even more spectacular.

But I doubt that any of us who analysed it back then would have expected to see [wealthy?] individuals going unwlllingly into statutory management. 

'Corporation' is defined for the purposes of that Act to mean "a body of persons, whether incorporated or not, and whether incorporated or established in New Zealand or elsewhere" .

 The Act gave the power from the start to bring associated persons within the controlled net.  I suppose if one thinks it OK to have a precautionary power to supersede ordinary insolvency and receivership law by decree, there is no particular reason to stop it at genuine "bodies of persons". Individuals too can be so wealthy or have such tentacles that their financial downfall can affect people just as a corporate collapse can. But this law is now being applied in circumstances far from those cited in the speeches of Sir Geoffrey Palmer and others who pushed it through. It was considered necessary  to bring order to collapses large enough to shake the economy – what we'd now all recognise as systemic risks.  The collapse of Hubbard, now that South Canterbury Finance seems to have been insulated from it, is spectacular but hardly a matter of systemic risk.

To apply statutory management in the interests of some charitable trusts and $88m worth of lending seems a long step from what the promoters of this law said they were doing. This is power creep on a grand scale, however useful it may be in the particular circumstances.  I take it to have been used for proper motives. But the powers are so wide and open to political misuse, that this is not a favourable sign.

Alan Hubbard may be grateful for at least one feature of the law.  The hasty drafting in 1989 leaves the statutory managers with an unresolved conflict of interests. Company law and insolvency law usually establish and respect a hierarchy of claimants. At the top are secured and preferential creditors (including IRD and employees). After them come unsecured creditors. Equity holders (members) rank last, as they should. They have the highest risk investment, and their interests should be sacrificed if necessary to help ensure that the higher ranking "stakeholders" get their contractual entitilements. 

Confusingly sections 4 and 5 of the Act state the purposes in terms that treat creditors, members and beneficiaries as if they are all equally deserving of protection. Section 41 confirms the clanger in the statement of what the statutory managers must consider in the exercise of their powers.  This flaw has caused managers deep concern in the past.  It should have been fixed with a simple amendment to confirm that they can discriminate in accordance with the normal hierarchy without liability to anyone.

For Mr and Mrs Hubbard however, it could be a comfort. The managers will have to be aware that if they take a course that might put priority say on prompt realisation, against the risk of further deterioration in property prices (bearing in mind for example Bernard Hickey's bearish expectations for property price (latest –  more falls))  they may be sacrificing the equity stakeholders' prospects of recovery. 

Decisions will be subject to judicial review. A manager is protected by Crown indemnity (section 63) for a good faith exercise of power , but such a draconian law should have been tidied up long ago.

This law is also now a sitting temptation for regulators and a snare for politicians. Even if the ordinary law could handle a situation like this (which might be problematic in the particular circumstances of a mix of trusts and companies and individual affairs) this case could foster cries for "decisive action" from the State in any high profile collapse.  It might be hard for a MInister to answer the question – "why not us?" from the creditors of the next high profile collapser.

Sooner or later sound insolvency law will be damaged.

So who will be allowed to drill, and where?

  • June 18th, 2010

The Economist comments on Obama's harrying of BP, noting that:

"After the macho rhetoric came the demands for cash. Mr Obama decided to “inform” BP that it must put adequate funds to meet all compensation claims into an escrow account beyond its control, although he has no authority to do so. Nancy Pelosi, the speaker of the House of Representatives, instructed it not to pay a dividend until all claims tied to the spill are settled. Her fellow Democrats in Congress are trying to raise BP’s liability retroactively—the sort of move America’s courts rightly frown on."

 I've found distasteful the Republican and Tea Party vitriol against Obama personally. In my experience the left has been more prone to forget that they share much more with their countrymen opponents than what they differ on, and to consider their opponents to be wicked and deserving of no human respect. Now the US right sounds the same. So I've stopped reading most of their stuff.

But the BP saga seems to have revealed in Obama shortsightedness, and lack of the courage to lead wisely.  Instead of responding to the unfair criticism of his "inaction" on the Gulf spill with resignation and moderating comment, he has joined the mob. As the Economist puts it: 

"Mr Obama is not the socialist the right claims he is (see article). He went out of his way, meeting BP executives on June 16th, to insist that he has no interest in undermining the company’s financial stability. But his reaction is cementing business leaders’ impression that he is indifferent to their concerns. If he sees any impropriety in politicians ordering executives about, upstaging the courts and threatening confiscation, he has not said so. The collapse in BP’s share price suggests that he has convinced the markets that he is an American version of Vladimir Putin, willing to harry firms into doing his bidding."

What does this precedent mean for all the US firms drilling around the world, some of whom will inevitably spill oil?  How will Obama resist confiscation by corrupt or opportunist foreign governments of the assets of the firms with US connections? The US (and Europe and the rest of the world without oil) is depending on risk accepting explorers to open up new fields and wells to feed the West's cars and planes and home heating and airconditioning.

BP is big enough to survive this disaster. But what if the well had been commissioned by one of the smaller would-be explorers? The message from Obama's conduct is that drilling should be permitted only to those who have enough to loot in full compensation for a serious spill. Perhaps there will be insurance for that risk. It will be expensive, and even more tempting for an unprincipled government to loot for an "escrow fund". Could the end result be that only the big sisters, and sovereign oil firms can afford the risks of sea drilling?  

Another of the US government's aims has been to avoid the defense security risks inherent where reserves are increasingly owned and controlled by state companies under the direction of potentially hostile governments. A world in which smaller explorers have been squeezed out would not seem to serve that purpose.

A spill in the South China sea, or Indonesia, or any one of thousands of sites where firms with US links are drilling could be when the baying crowd in the US finally realise what their President has done to their interests, by putting temporary political recovery ahead of sober principle.